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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150–174 | 100% | +48 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100–124 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125–149 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175–199 | 0% | −39 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200–224 | 0% | −4 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225–249 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250–274 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275–299 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300–324 | 0% | — | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325–349 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350–374 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375–399 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400+ | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 554d |  0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | 150–174 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 554d | Nemezid | 150–174 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,530 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 554d |  Prexpect | 150–174 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 554d | shlakbaum | 150–174 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,554 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 554d |  afterer | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,184 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | 0xa8C4d45000b7976d897Ab79c21780E46faAA848 | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d |  jesterthegoose | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,979 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | jesterthegoose | 175–199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,905 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | Prexpect | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,929 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d |  LookBehindYou | 175–199 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,933 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 554d |  Tankajahari01 | 150–174 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 554d |  Debosnys | 175–199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 554d | astromage | 175–199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,509 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 554d |  Gustav4 | 175–199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,736 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 554d | Gustav42 fills | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,490 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 554d | cipherpilot | 150–174 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,125 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 554d | cipherpilot | 175–199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,479 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 554d | glarity2 fills | 150–174 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,166 | +$21 +0.7% | 20 |
| 554d | SirDragon | 150–174 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,956 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 554d | toosmartfortrap | 150–174 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 554d | Debosnys2 fills | 150–174 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$35 +0.9% | 20 |
| 554d | Cryptosputnik | 150–174 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | −$24 −0.9% | — |
| 554d | managerindia3 fills | 150–174 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,987 | +$1,456 +18% | 23 |
| 554d |  ElonSpam | 150–174 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$44 +4.2% | 20 |
| 554d | glarity | 175–199 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$133 +7.2% | 20 |
| 554d | glarity2 fills | 200–224 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,343 | +$23 +0.5% | 20 |
| 554d | Zyronar | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | AltCoinAce | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,390 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | astromage2 fills | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,027 | +$18 +0.3% | 20 |
| 554d | CryptoPhantom | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | cigarettes2 fills | 175–199 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,023 | +$727 +18% | 25 |
| 554d | PhantomX | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | afterer6 fills | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,623 | +$56 +0.3% | 20 |
| 554d | Thanatos17 | 200–224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,319 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 554d | Thanatos17 | 275–299 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,319 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 554d | AlexPro | 150–174 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,016 | +$738 +24% | 27 |
| 554d | LookBehindYou | 175–199 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | +$867 +28% | 27 |
| 554d | jeonghunp | 200–224 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 554d | afterer | 175–199 | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | −$1,203 −54% | — |
| 554d | As24051 | 175–199 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$330 −26% | — |
| 554d | afterer2 fills | 175–199 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | +$215 +9.2% | 23 |
| 554d | Doog | 150–174 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$124 −12% | — |
| 554d | Dzhi | 150–174 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$107 +7.6% | 22 |
| 554d | JSoon | 150–174 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$88 +8.8% | 23 |
| 554d |  Tetonman | 150–174 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$443 −37% | — |
| 554d | DGenerate | 150–174 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$274 +19% | 24 |
| 554d | cipherpilot3 fills | 200–224 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,744 | +$107 +1.2% | 20 |
| 554d | joezpeh | 150–174 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$490 +21% | 25 |
| 554d | As24051 | 175–199 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | +$782 +41% | 28 |
| 554d | Debosnys2 fills | 250–274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,291 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 554d | ElonSpam | 150–174 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$1,486 −98% | — |
| 554d | Debosnys | 225–249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d |  Cajetan | 225–249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,577 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 554d | Cajetan | 200–224 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$22 +1.4% | 20 |
| 554d | Cajetan | 175–199 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$442 +39% | 27 |
| 554d | Frozen-Message | 125–149 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,480 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 554d | yamaha11 | 150–174 | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$1,481 −137% | — |
| 554d | afterer3 fills | 125–149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,672 | +$44 +0.3% | 20 |
| 554d | ElonSpam2 fills | 125–149 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,862 | +$70 +1.8% | 20 |
| 555d | Cryptosputnik | 150–174 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$601 +43% | 28 |
Dinoart631 shares
Umkabrother404 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between April 11, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 150–174 means the market gives it about 100%.