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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-99 | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130-139 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d | professorx | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,533 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 792d | samiras | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,850 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 792d | MintIce | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,850 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 792d | 0xfe91…70ff | 100-109 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,067 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 792d | MintIce | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,850 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | professorx | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | tommyy | 160-179 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,845 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 794d | tommyy | 140-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,713 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 794d | tommyy | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,854 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 794d | professorx | <60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,904 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 794d |  AgricultureSecretary | <60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,587 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 798d |  realAFC | 180+ | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | −$117 −6.4% | — |
| 798d | realAFC | 180+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$143 +9.9% | 21 |
Elon Musk # of tweets August 16-23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80-99 means the market gives it about 100%.