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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-89 | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 130+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805d | professorx | 90-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,482 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 806d |  AgricultureSecretary | 60-69 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,128 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 808d |  hot-097 | <60 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | +$21 +1.1% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between August 2 and August 9.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80-89 means the market gives it about 100%.