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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180+ | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <80 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 130-139 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-149 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-159 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780d |  AgricultureSecretary | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,734 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | AgricultureSecretary | 180+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,169 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | PriAb100 | 160-179 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,115 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 780d |  aldynspeedruns | 180+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,233 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | Qtyu | 180+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 20 |
| 780d |  TheCoconut | 180+ | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | −$91 −4.4% | — |
| 780d | boat | 150-159 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,372 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 780d | professorx2 fills | 150-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,912 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | boat | 150-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,528 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 780d | Jarzombek | 150-159 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,197 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d |  PunishedCK | 180+ | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$52 −3.1% | — |
| 781d | PriAb100 | 140-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,213 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 140-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,342 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 781d | 1mperator17 | 180+ | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$122 +11% | 20 |
| 781d | Jarzombek2 fills | 130-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 781d | Jarzombek | 120-129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,020 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | panasmrs | 80-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,470 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 781d |  EastBoat | 110-119 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 781d | butterr2 fills | 130-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,633 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 781d | butterr2 fills | 120-129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,510 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 110-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | EastBoat | 110-119 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 781d | TheCoconut | 180+ | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$1,392 +92% | 20 |
| 782d | ssxeet | 80-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,231 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | Stachursky | 80-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,977 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | roll-149 | 130-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | roll-1493 fills | 120-129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,527 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 782d | roll-149 | 100-109 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,932 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | roll-149 | 80-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,604 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 782d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 80-99 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,025 | +$73 +2.4% | 20 |
| 783d | rom7eo | 100-109 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 783d | rom7eo | 80-99 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 783d | panasmrs | 80-99 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$20 +1.4% | 20 |
| 784d | abdendriel2 fills | <80 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,090 | +$59 +1.9% | 20 |
Elon Musk # of tweets August 30-Sept 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 180+ means the market gives it about 100%.