Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130+ | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-89 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-129 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801d | professorx | 120-129 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,009 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 801d | professorx | 130+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,757 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 802d | professorx | 80-89 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,881 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 802d | professorx | 70-79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 804d |  hot-097 | 80-89 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$98 +5.3% | 20 |
Elon Musk # of tweets August 9-16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 130+ means the market gives it about 100%.