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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | −100 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d | hgfhfg3 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,295 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | Wild-Manner | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,423 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 240d |  stauffen2 fills | 65-89 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,439 | −$253 −10% | — |
| 240d |  PumpThePompey | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,821 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | Lined-Macadamia | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,150 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | Ingg | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,631 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 240d |  zeroafterzero | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,532 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 240d |  Annica6 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $13,666 | +$874 +6.4% | 22 |
| 240d | ppobb1123 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,935 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | elysiian | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | Yuki72 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,516 | +$180 +2.1% | 21 |
| 240d |  PredictionYogi5 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $10,372 | +$1,489 +14% | 23 |
| 240d | goncalo1021 | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 240d |  GodofGamblers69 | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,727 | +$96 +3.5% | 21 |
| 240d | waterfall0 | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,372 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 240d | waterfall0 | 90-114 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$55 +4.2% | 21 |
| 240d |  CriptoDadz | 65-89 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$76 −5.6% | — |
| 240d |  eI0zwvzk5 fills | 40-64 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $41,806 | −$1,652 −4.0% | — |
| 240d |  Mei-ji | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | WCWS | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 240d |  lebi4ik | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,640 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | RickRockRick | 65-89 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$120 +11% | 23 |
| 240d | Houdray | 65-89 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$280 +27% | 27 |
| 241d | stauffen2 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | +$395 +17% | 25 |
| 241d | RickRockRick2 fills | 65-89 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | −$875 −28% | — |
| 241d | Ingg4 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $7,625 | +$916 +12% | 24 |
| 241d | Worrisome-Fibroblast | 65-89 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,032 | −$968 −19% | — |
| 241d | Hiworld. | 65-89 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$143 +14% | 24 |
| 241d |  StinkyCobbler | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 241d | Ingg | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $30,184 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | WCWS | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 241d | madmaxctfr | 90-114 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $6,709 | −$1,374 −20% | — |
| 241d | Bustling-Repository | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,236 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | forestk | 65-89 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,026 | +$558 +9.3% | 23 |
| 241d | plsd23 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $23,582 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | 137N2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$246 +11% | 23 |
| 241d |  lasiweijiasi | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,204 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | beatyesterday | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,915 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | 0x59BA | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d |  bigguy4u | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,031 | +$116 +2.9% | 21 |
| 241d | stauffen | 115-139 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 241d |  onchainbuda | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,094 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 241d | Collion2 fills | 140-164 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,066 | −$37 −0.6% | — |
| 241d |  MankPredict | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,692 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 241d | MankPredict | 165-189 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,877 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 241d | dahaidefangxiang | 115-139 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,045 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 241d | Ommamal | 65-89 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$147 +12% | 24 |
| 241d | SergeyFora | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d | duannanyu | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d | tenorplum | 90-114 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | +$422 +8.7% | 23 |
| 241d | AaronMoon111 | 40-64 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,666 | +$87 +2.4% | 21 |
| 241d | bnone | 165-189 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,976 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 241d |  NEMESi | 90-114 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$117 +9.9% | 23 |
| 241d |  badmoshbillu | 40-64 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,776 | −$159 −4.2% | — |
| 241d | Vincent44230 | 40-64 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$19 +1.9% | 20 |
| 241d | These-Yoyo | 40-64 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | −$20 −1.5% | — |
| 241d | dxdxdxx | 40-64 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,520 | +$206 +2.0% | 21 |
| 241d | madmaxctfr | 90-114 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,324 | +$759 +10% | 23 |
| 241d | eI0zwvzk2 fills | 40-64 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,408 | +$295 +1.4% | 20 |
| 241d |  LinaBell🦊4 fills | 40-64 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,276 | −$146 −2.3% | — |
nimikm1,300 shares
TheNoobBeaver555 shares
shuu519 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 23 12:00 PM ET to February 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.