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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120+ | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-89 | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-99 | 0% | +48 pts | 0 pts | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| 100-109 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| 110-119 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815d | professorx | 120+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,921 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 815d |  realAFC | 120+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$70 +7.0% | 21 |
| 816d | professorx | 60-69 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,523 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 817d |  imp | <60 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,006 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 817d |  10xSquare3 fills | <60 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,605 | +$77 +2.1% | 20 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 120+ means the market gives it about 100%.