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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400+ | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <250 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 582d |  lolboy4D | 375-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 582d | 911TurboS | 400+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 582d | kingbin3 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,669 | +$34 +0.2% | 20 |
| 583d |  DJHANNA2 fills | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,987 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 583d | kingbin3 fills | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,290 | +$31 +0.2% | 20 |
| 583d | kingbin2 fills | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,796 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 583d |  HolyMoses7 | 350-374 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$74 +3.8% | 21 |
| 583d | 0rocky007 | 325-349 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 583d | kingbin | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,384 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | astromage | 325-349 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 583d | leiger | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,263 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | afaus | 350-374 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$125 +12% | 22 |
| 583d | Cryptochef | 275-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 583d | glarity | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,737 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 583d | chocolate123 | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,176 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | kingbin | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,088 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d |  sunflowerboy | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 583d | 0xeccdededcc | 375-399 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | −$373 −15% | — |
| 583d | HolyMoses7 | 325-349 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,051 | +$249 +6.2% | 21 |
| 583d | leiger | 325-349 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$116 +6.2% | 21 |
| 583d | 0rocky007 | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,828 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 584d | Hipopotamys | 400+ | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,060 | −$1,060 −100% | 25 |
| 584d | BombasticSideEye | 375-399 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,506 | −$1,506 −100% | 27 |
| 584d |  baseballl | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,594 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 584d | kingbin2 fills | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,969 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 584d | kingbin | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 584d | baseballl | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,002 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 584d | Chikibonboni | <250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,190 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
whitedevil4 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between March 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and March 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 400+ means the market gives it about 100%.