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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320-339 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-219 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 260-279 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 280-299 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-319 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 340-359 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 360-379 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 380-399 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-419 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 420-439 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 440-459 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 460-479 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 480-499 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-519 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 520-539 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 540-559 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 560-579 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 580+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217d | Descuy | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,148 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  LeJoe | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,751 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | miluchop | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,877 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | BinaryBaron4 fills | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,384 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | justnotchu | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | ghghgghghghghhghghh888 | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,038 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  MankPredict | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,677 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Actual-Ladle | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,184 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | niceShare | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,094 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  dushen88 | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,908 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | WCWS | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,684 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Jason2025 | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | These-Yoyo | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,677 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Konium | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Poiuztrewq | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Rs3Nurburgring | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,093 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | 0x265f…a4482 fills | 320-339 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $15,086 | −$914 −6.1% | — |
| 217d | dudukos5 fills | 320-339 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $20,996 | −$1,393 −6.6% | — |
| 217d | ShivaLemire | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,494 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  broitsravi | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  MuskWillMakeMeRich | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,650 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  Archeroon | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,194 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  Annica5 fills | 320-339 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $13,136 | +$5,528 +42% | 28 |
| 217d | Perfumed-Whirlpool | 340-359 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,546 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Senritsu | 320-339 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,133 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  Gustav42 fills | 340-359 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,170 | +$383 +4.7% | 21 |
| 217d | BigFishSushiChief2 fills | 340-359 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,315 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 217d |  Prexpect | 320-339 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,930 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 217d | 168168168168 | 340-359 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,377 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d | BinaryBaron6 fills | 320-339 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $23,862 | +$370 +1.6% | 21 |
| 217d |  lasiweijiasi3 fills | 340-359 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,466 | +$43 +0.8% | 20 |
| 217d | tianjiyuyunzhilu2 fills | 320-339 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,368 | +$36 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d | BinaryBaron2 fills | 380-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,332 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | 0xe8cf…819e | 320-339 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | −$53 −4.1% | — |
| 217d | Perfumed-Whirlpool | 340-359 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 217d | BinaryBaron4 fills | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,639 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | spakila | 320-339 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | −$87 −5.3% | — |
| 217d | ppobb1123 | 320-339 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,437 | +$338 +5.3% | 22 |
| 217d | ppobb1123 | 400-419 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,436 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | rustyecon123 | 320-339 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$134 +11% | 23 |
| 217d | amwfhv2 fills | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,554 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 217d | Godblessmetowin | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,197 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | mza55 | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,353 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | tukki2 fills | 320-339 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,017 | +$1,043 +35% | 29 |
| 217d |  NrNrfNrf2 | 360-379 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 217d | BinaryBaron4 fills | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,383 | +$104 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d | ANITA20262 fills | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,138 | +$16 +0.5% | 20 |
| 217d | hyp888 | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,903 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d | tingyan | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d | ghdyrdd | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,326 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 217d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 320-339 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,809 | +$3,392 +121% | 26 |
| 217d | Ge1 | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,303 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 217d | MankPredict | 360-379 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,492 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 218d | Drakzyn | 360-379 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,164 | +$6 +0.5% | 20 |
| 218d | Vextron2025 | 360-379 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,592 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 218d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 360-379 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,989 | +$11 +0.5% | 20 |
| 218d |  tupac82 fills | 340-359 | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $4,201 | +$4,201 +100% | — |
| 218d | Godblessmetowin | 360-379 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 218d | tupac8 | 320-339 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$1,613 +151% | 30 |
| 218d | BinaryBaron3 fills | 440-459 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,352 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
0xMahes2,900 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 13 12:00 PM ET to March 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 320-339 means the market gives it about 100%.