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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450+ | 100% | +38 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <200 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −29 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701d |  Babar1952 | 450+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,476 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 701d | oVyg7f | 450+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,032 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 701d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 450+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,475 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 701d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,512 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,791 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d |  imp | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d |  lranon | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,620 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d | lranon | 375-399 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$182 −16% | — |
| 702d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,882 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 702d | Yosoyespanol | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,447 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 703d | lranon | 450+ | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$526 −50% | — |
| 703d | lranon | 375-399 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | +$41 +1.1% | 20 |
| 703d | lranon | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,577 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 703d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 450+ | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$356 −32% | — |
| 704d |  Jez | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 704d | fengzi123 | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 704d | lranon | 225-249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,141 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 704d | Jez | 200-224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 704d | Jez | <200 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,429 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 705d | PollyMarchev | 225-249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,221 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 705d | PollyMarchev | <200 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,221 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 705d | imp | 200-224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,906 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 705d | 1mperator17 | 300-324 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$78 +7.5% | 20 |
| 706d | PollyMarchev | <200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 706d | Babar1952 | 200-224 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 707d | D42d | 450+ | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,871 | −$1,871 −100% | 20 |
| 707d | Jez | <200 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | +$24 +1.7% | 20 |
| 707d | Itsme2 | <200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$17 +1.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 15 and November 22.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 450+ means the market gives it about 100%.