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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375-399 | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <150 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-424 | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 425-449 | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 450+ | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 400-424 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,146 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 707d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 375-399 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,401 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 707d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 400-424 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$38 +2.8% | 20 |
| 707d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 450+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,409 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 707d |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | 350-374 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,971 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 708d | Yosoyespanol | 350-374 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,908 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 708d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 450+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,599 | +$238 +4.2% | 20 |
| 709d | fengzi123 | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,377 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 709d | AgricultureSecretary | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,020 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | fengzi123 | 325-349 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,304 | +$76 +3.3% | 21 |
| 709d |  imp | 250-274 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,653 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 709d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,588 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | 1mperator17 | 275-299 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 709d | AgricultureSecretary | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,403 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 709d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,297 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 709d |  Bobik3 | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 709d | imp | 275-299 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | +$32 +1.3% | 20 |
| 710d | xcfghjk | 300-324 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 22 |
| 710d | xcfghjk | 250-274 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$270 +22% | 23 |
| 711d | Bobik3 | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 711d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | <150 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,230 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 712d |  CavaSoTasty | 325-349 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$358 +20% | 21 |
| 712d | bvdserth | 400-424 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 20 |
| 712d | bvdserth | 325-349 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$330 +28% | 21 |
| 712d | bvdserth | 300-324 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 21 |
| 712d | hjzrtjzrj | 275-299 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 21 |
| 712d | tfdsx | 250-274 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 |
| 712d | Alextwabc0012 fills | 450+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$253 +4.5% | 20 |
| 712d | Desy-1725192185234 | 450+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 20 |
| 714d | Itsme2 | <150 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$59 +4.5% | 20 |
| 714d | 1mperator17 | 450+ | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 22 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 8 and November 15.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 375-399 means the market gives it about 100%.