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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000+ | 39% | — | — | 26¢ · 52¢ (26¢) | $38.3 | in 38d |
| 960-999 | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | $76.7 | in 38d |
| 840-879 | 11% | — | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 880-919 | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 920-959 | 7% | — | — | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 800-839 | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 740-759 | 4% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $133 | in 38d |
| 780-799 | 3% | — | — | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $135 | in 38d |
| 760-779 | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | $118 | in 38d |
| 420-439 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 440-459 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 460-479 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 480-499 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 500-519 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 520-539 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 540-559 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 560-579 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 580-599 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 600-619 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 620-639 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 640-659 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 660-679 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 680-699 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 700-719 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 720-739 | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | $118 | in 38d |
| 320-339 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 340-359 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 360-379 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 380-399 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 400-419 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 38d |
| 180-199 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 200-219 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 220-239 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 240-259 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 260-279 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 280-299 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 300-319 | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| <20 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 20-39 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $229 | in 38d |
| 40-59 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $229 | in 38d |
| 60-79 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 80-99 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 100-119 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 120-139 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 140-159 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
| 160-179 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $18.3 | in 38d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of November 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 39¢ for 1000+ means the market gives it about 39%.