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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-224 | 100% | +87 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <150 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735d | WigglyWaffles | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,610 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d |  scout | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,456 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 736d | Adgdfs | 200-224 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 27 |
| 736d | Qgjhyhkj | 200-224 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,296 | −$1,296 −100% | 27 |
| 736d |  Eridpnc | 200-224 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 28 |
| 736d | 1mperator172 fills | 200-224 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,550 | −$2,550 −100% | 28 |
| 736d |  Mrmarket334 | 175-199 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$174 +13% | 23 |
| 736d |  Lisbon333 | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 737d |  realAFC | <150 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 737d | 1mperator17 | <150 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,463 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 737d | Gohomeloser | <150 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 737d | JohnyBrawooo | <150 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,232 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 737d | realAFC | 350+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,459 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 739d | Asfdg-863 | 150-174 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$450 −43% | — |
| 739d | Asfdg-863 | 150-174 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$435 +41% | 22 |
| 739d | Lbhyjn | 150-174 | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$574 −45% | — |
| 739d | Lbhyjn | 150-174 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$537 +41% | 22 |
| 739d | Lolckst | 150-174 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$450 −43% | — |
| 739d | Lolckst | 150-174 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$450 +43% | 22 |
| 739d | Mksl | 150-174 | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$465 −45% | — |
| 739d | Mksl | 150-174 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$435 +41% | 22 |
| 739d | argers | 150-174 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$450 −43% | — |
| 739d | argers | 150-174 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$450 +43% | 22 |
| 740d | 1mperator17 | 300-324 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$24 +2.2% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 11 and October 18.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 200-224 means the market gives it about 100%.