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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400+ | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| <150 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | VvVv | 400+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,404 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d | KKshoucang-331 | 400+ | SellYes>99¢ | $5,503 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 722d | hyuaba | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 723d |  MrNFT | 400+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 723d | BrokenIKey | 400+ | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$168 −15% | — |
| 723d |  Anjun | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,893 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 723d |  exit-liqudity | 300-324 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,879 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 724d | KKshoucang-331 | 400+ | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$186 +16% | 22 |
| 725d | Johnywicker | 200-224 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,047 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 725d | Johnywicker | 200-224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,735 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 725d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,585 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 725d | MrNFT | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 726d | malaga | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,282 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 726d | oboz | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 726d | oboz | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,518 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 727d | kt-dazy | <150 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,099 | +$12 +0.6% | 20 |
| 728d | Sombie | <150 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | +$49 +2.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between October 25 and November 1.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 400+ means the market gives it about 100%.