Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175-199 | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <150 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350-374 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 375-399 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742d | VvVv | 175-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 742d | Ithil | 175-199 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,324 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 742d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 175-199 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,081 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 742d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 350-374 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,414 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 742d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 375-399 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 742d | Ithil | 175-199 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$121 +11% | 20 |
| 742d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 375-399 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 743d | Rainiak | 150-174 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$47 +4.4% | 21 |
| 744d |  realAFC | 400+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,748 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 746d | Rainiak2 fills | <150 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,014 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 747d | Yifan | 350-374 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | +$70 +3.1% | 20 |
| 748d | Rainiak | <150 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,736 | +$48 +1.0% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from October 4 to October 11.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 175-199 means the market gives it about 100%.