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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200-224 | 100% | +62 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | +10 pts | 0 pts | — · 21¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −53 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d | Andy0091 | 200-224 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,375 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 756d |  scout | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,364 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 756d | 67678989Hello | 275-299 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,484 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 757d | 67678989Hello | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,317 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 757d | Ten-566 | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 757d | 67678989Hello | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 757d | scout | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,217 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 757d | siodmy | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 757d | szosty | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,007 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 757d | Piaty | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,765 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | tuturu | 300+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 758d |  AgricultureSecretary | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,828 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,931 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 758d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 175-199 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$21 +1.9% | 20 |
| 758d | tuturu | 175-199 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$34 +2.2% | 20 |
| 758d | Improbable-Marshland | 175-199 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$25 +2.3% | 20 |
| 758d | Improbable-Marshland | 275-299 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$16 +1.5% | 20 |
| 759d | abdendriel | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$25 +0.5% | 20 |
| 759d | FlowMo | 300+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$33 +2.9% | 20 |
| 759d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,408 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 760d | PaulCrown | 100-124 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 760d | PaulCrown | 100-124 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,186 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 761d | abdendriel | 150-174 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | −$43 −1.8% | — |
| 761d | abdendriel | 100-124 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,818 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 761d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,915 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 761d |  MrNFT | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,549 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 762d | rom7eo | 125-149 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$29 +1.7% | 20 |
| 763d | rom7eo | 225-249 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$503 +34% | 22 |
| 763d | abdendriel | 100-124 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$11 +0.9% | 20 |
| 763d | abdendriel | 150-174 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | +$122 +4.2% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 200-224 means the market gives it about 100%.