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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300+ | 100% | +99 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 225-249 | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −52 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 749d | Schlomo | 300+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,411 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 750d | ghghgghghghghhghghh888 | 300+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 750d | audreyfos | 300+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,363 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 750d | 1mperator17 | 250-274 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 750d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 250-274 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$22 +2.1% | 21 |
| 750d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 225-249 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,988 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 752d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,520 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 753d | 125-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,679 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 753d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 125-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 753d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 100-124 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,360 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 754d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | 100-124 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 754d | tuturu | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,639 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 754d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 756d | WmouseCry | 300+ | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,116 | −$1,116 −100% | 20 |
| 756d | abdendriel2 fills | <100 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | +$19 +0.6% | 20 |
| 756d | abdendriel | 125-149 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$47 +2.6% | 20 |
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 27 and October 4.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 300+ means the market gives it about 100%.