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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225-249 | 100% | +81 pts | 0 pts | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| <150 | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| 150-199 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −63 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300-324 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 325-349 | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| 350-399 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770d | panasmrs | 225-249 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 770d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 225-249 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 770d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 325-349 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 770d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,260 | +$11 +0.3% | 20 |
| 771d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 325-349 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 771d | EscalateFund | 300-324 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | +$76 +2.4% | 20 |
| 772d |  AgricultureSecretary3 fills | 150-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,515 | +$14 +0.1% | 20 |
| 772d | Alder | 150-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,695 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 772d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 150-199 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,172 | +$39 +0.6% | 20 |
| 772d | tmagee | 150-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,512 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 773d |  Alicia | 325-349 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$23 −2.3% | — |
| 774d | PriAb100 | <150 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 20 |
| 774d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | <150 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,545 | +$202 +3.1% | 20 |
| 774d | tmagee | <150 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | +$66 +5.3% | 20 |
| 774d | abdendriel | <150 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,349 | +$1,349 +25% | 21 |
| 776d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 275-299 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$99 +8.9% | 20 |
shibawino1 sharesThis is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from September 6 to September 13.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 225-249 means the market gives it about 100%.