Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-49 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <30 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-79 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80+ | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410d | chocolate123 | 80+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X on September 8, 2025 ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 40-49 means the market gives it about 100%.