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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +81 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613d | AreWeNotEntertained | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,205 | +$91 +0.2% | 20 |
| 613d | rpo | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,375 | +$84 +1.1% | 20 |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$225 +4.8% | 20 | |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,122 | −$211 −6.8% | — | |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | −$108 −7.0% | — | |
| 613d | SweetChariot2 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,502 | +$152 +2.8% | 20 |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $63,280 | +$1,112 +1.8% | 20 | |
| 613d | cqs5 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $32,535 | +$5,126 +16% | 20 |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,572 | +$541 +15% | 20 | |
| 613d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $6,892 | +$837 +12% | 20 |
| 613d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,681 | +$511 +9.0% | 20 | |
| 613d | longtern | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,493 | +$305 +8.7% | 20 |
| 613d | Up-Down2 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $8,362 | +$728 +8.7% | 20 |
| 613d | Lone-Hydrocarbon | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | +$236 +8.7% | 20 |
| 613d | gambaman | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 615d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,892 | −$1,892 −100% | 20 | |
| 617d | OuterspaceAstronaut9 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $19,500 | −$19,500 −100% | 20 |
| 619d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $4,915 | +$4,915 +100% | — | |
| 619d | polywanta3 fills | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $5,303 | −$5,303 −100% | 20 |
| 632d | spacexastronaut | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 20 |
| 634d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$2,339 −203% | — | |
| 637d | yyyyyyy | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | −$1,171 −100% | 20 |
| 638d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | +$4,295 +259% | 22 | |
| 642d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | +$1,083 +100% | — | |
| 649d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $2,972 | +$2,972 +100% | — | |
| 651d | kewlintentionz | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 20 |
| 652d | flyingviking | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 |
| 654d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,642 | −$1,642 −100% | 20 | |
| 657d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $5,239 | −$5,239 −100% | 20 | |
| 695d | Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,686 | −$1,686 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk announces he has resigned or will resign as head/co-head of the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from Elon that he is resigning will qualify, regardless of whether he actually resigns. If DOGE is created and Elon Musk is not it's head/co-head at any point by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." If DOGE is not officially created by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Elon Musk or the Trump Administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.