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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | — | −1 pts | 5¢ · 45¢ (40¢) | — | in 96d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk ceases to be a co-lead of the U.S. Department of War’s Project Meridian for any period of time during which the project is ongoing between market creation and January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/removal before the projects conclusion by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The conclusion or dissolution of Project Meridian before January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 25¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 25%.
