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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | 100% | +73 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leeds United FC | 0% | −41 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester United FC | 0% | −32 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 0x018e…5c3d | Leeds United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,055 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0x1653…24b0 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,232 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0x3801…70132 fills | Leeds United FC | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,603 | −$543 −21% | — |
| 5d | bogemika | Leeds United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $2,155 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Dom22 | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,102 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | MyBettingFuture | Manchester United FC | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | UpTheBlues17 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $40,951 | +$17,878 +44% | 14 |
| 5d | curie | Leeds United FC | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$42 +3.1% | 4 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $11,947 | +$7,948 +67% | 4 |
| 5d | hfv3 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,670 | +$817 +8.5% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp14 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $61,598 | +$25,360 +41% | 4 |
| 5d | whypredictionissohard | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,608 | +$585 +10% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp2 fills | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | +$919 +19% | 4 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,872 | +$1,940 +33% | 4 |
| 5d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $14,633 | +$3,613 +25% | 4 |
| 5d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $8,113 | +$6,270 +77% | 4 |
| 5d | NX-Trading | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,863 | +$1,986 +41% | 4 |
| 5d | sbimbg | Manchester United FC | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $10,795 | +$1,757 +16% | 4 |
| 5d | cligui | Leeds United FC | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$440 −28% | — |
| 5d | kkookkoo2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | UsagiMagi2 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $6,012 | +$1,598 +27% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp2 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $2,539 | −$2,539 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | GoalLineGhost5 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $14,499 | +$7,200 +50% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x1653…24b0 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$1,554 +92% | 4 |
| 5d | Flaznorp | Leeds United FC | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,979 | −$1,979 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x3801…7013 | Manchester United FC | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$289 −27% | — |
| 5d | shark1423 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $8,311 | +$4,591 +55% | 4 |
| 5d | shark142 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$1,213 +117% | 4 |
| 5d | BruceWayne772 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $5,619 | −$5,619 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | ferrariChampions2026 | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$1,717 +133% | 4 |
| 5d | bogemika | Leeds United FC | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$505 +49% | 4 |
| 5d | shark1422 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $6,221 | +$2,098 +34% | 4 |
| 5d | Linear-Outlook | Manchester United FC | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 4 |
| 5d |  Yourmummy2 fills | Leeds United FC | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $5,556 | −$5,556 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | Siddhartha1 | Leeds United FC | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,750 | −$2,250 −18% | — |
| 5d |  matanovik | Leeds United FC | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,232 | +$1,018 +16% | 4 |
| 5d | 24440 | Manchester United FC | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $2,950 | +$2,950 +100% | — |
| 5d | Unsteady-Quinoa | Manchester United FC | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $5,149 | −$5,149 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | GoalLineGhost | Manchester United FC | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,284 | −$3,284 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | UpTheBlues | Leeds United FC | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 4 |
| 5d |  00100010000011002 fills | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $2,671 | +$2,671 +100% | — |
| 5d | bbbetk3 fills | Manchester United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $17,923 | −$17,923 −100% | 4 |
| 5d | cometomebaby | Manchester United FC | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$687 +48% | 4 |
| 5d | Substantial-Service | Leeds United FC | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$2,304 +61% | 4 |
| 5d |  Mysouil | Manchester United FC | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$660 +49% | 4 |
| 5d | 24440 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | Idolized-Acquaintance | Manchester United FC | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,152 +52% | 14 |
| 5d | Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $15,697 | +$40,364 +257% | 14 |
| 5d | 0xe051…df86 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,736 | −$2,736 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | BreakTheBank | Leeds United FC | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $31,095 | −$31,095 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | 0x0f34…7684 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,272 | −$3,272 −100% | 14 |
| 5d |  nigiri99 | Manchester United FC | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$572 +54% | 14 |
| 5d | WINSONS | Manchester United FC | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | TheGambleOfOz | Manchester United FC | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,351 | −$1,351 −100% | 14 |
| 5d | svelzao | Manchester United FC | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 5d | Igppy | Manchester United FC | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,917 | −$1,917 −100% | 12 |
| 5d | SamHadfield1500 | Manchester United FC | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,528 | −$2,528 −100% | 12 |
| 6d | Siddhartha1 | Leeds United FC | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$1,049 +69% | 12 |
| 9d |  rayvanmechelen | Leeds United FC | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
001000100000110020,344 sharesThis event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between Leeds United FC and Manchester United FC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC) means the market gives it about 100%.