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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >4200 | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4000 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >3800 | 100% | +1 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4400 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >3600 | 100% | 0 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4300 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 438d | deeeadf | >4400 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 438d | Chalasis | >4400 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,418 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 438d | Kopewu1 | >4400 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 438d | Thin-Print | >4300 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$160 +4.2% | 2 |
| 438d | rwo | >4200 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,790 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 438d | Thin-Print | >4000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,509 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 438d | deeeadf | >4400 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | +$31 +2.0% | 2 |
| 438d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >4200 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $23,716 | −$2,923 −12% | — |
| 438d | CryZ | >4300 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | −$1,302 −100% | 4 |
| 438d | Hashbrown | >4400 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,818 | +$79 +1.6% | 2 |
| 438d | >4300 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,728 | −$2,728 −100% | 5 | |
| 438d | 0xa95bfdb | >4300 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$2,070 +85% | 5 |
| 438d | 0xb68a…c5689 fills | >4000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $32,920 | +$1,318 +4.0% | 2 |
| 438d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >4200 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $23,111 | +$8,575 +37% | 3 |
| 438d | 0xa95bfdb4 fills | >4200 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $7,919 | +$5,016 +63% | 3 |
| 438d | >4200 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,373 | +$597 +8.1% | 3 | |
| 438d | 0xa95bfdb | >4200 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,305 | −$1,305 −100% | 6 |
| 438d | >4200 | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,540 | +$2,540 +100% | — | |
| 438d | >4200 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $4,356 | −$4,356 −100% | 9 | |
| 438d | Thin-Print2 fills | >4200 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,539 | +$1,086 +17% | 3 |
| 438d | lordedward | >4200 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$198 +12% | 3 |
| 438d | ahmedxa | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 438d | Chalasis | >4200 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$339 +23% | 3 |
| 438d | Chalasis3 fills | >4400 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,665 | +$760 +13% | 3 |
| 438d | 0xa95bfdb2 fills | >4400 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,292 | +$1,476 +23% | 3 |
| 438d | >4200 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | +$542 +15% | 3 | |
| 438d | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,500 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 438d | Thin-Print | >4400 | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,015 | −$1,485 −37% | — |
| 438d | gotthedrip | >3600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 438d | Thin-Print | >4400 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$450 +9.9% | 3 |
| 438d | Thin-Print | >4000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,006 | +$220 +3.7% | 2 |
| 438d | Cesium | >4000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$47 +4.1% | 2 |
| 439d | jdyljdyl | >3800 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$20 +1.6% | 2 |
| 439d | TexMexTRex | >4000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$524 +6.6% | 2 |
| 439d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >3800 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,759 | −$388 −2.2% | — |
| 439d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >4000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $20,493 | −$2,500 −12% | — |
| 439d | Hashbrown | >3800 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$19 +1.3% | 2 |
| 439d | hanaabmingfa023 | >4000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,729 | −$674 −18% | — |
| 439d | Chalasis | >3600 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,521 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 439d | >4400 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,028 | +$1,430 +28% | 3 | |
| 440d | exposito | >3800 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | +$24 +0.8% | 2 |
| 440d | LFG2024 | >3600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 440d | >4400 | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 7 | |
| 440d | 0xb68a…c568 | >4200 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $4,967 | −$4,967 −100% | 3 |
| 440d | >4000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$237 +11% | 2 | |
| 440d | >3800 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,441 | +$70 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 440d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >3800 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $21,216 | +$468 +2.2% | 2 |
| 440d | Thin-Print | >3800 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$101 +8.7% | 2 |
| 440d | asdfgo | >3600 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 441d | >4000 | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,286 | −$2,286 −100% | 3 | |
| 441d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >3800 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 7 |
| 441d | >3800 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,856 | +$1,166 +41% | 2 | |
| 442d | 0xb68a…c568 | >3600 | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $2,031 | −$2,031 −100% | 6 |
| 443d | Chalasis | >3600 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,042 +69% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >4200 means the market gives it about 100%.