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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >4600 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >3800 | 100% | 0 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >4400 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4200 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4800 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >3600 | 100% | 0 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 436d | TexMexTRex | >4600 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,121 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 436d | cipherpilot | >4600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,032 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 436d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >4600 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $25,932 | −$4,793 −18% | — |
| 436d | 0xb68a…c56811 fills | >4600 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $39,531 | +$6,419 +16% | 3 |
| 436d | >4600 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $7,040 | +$1,584 +23% | 3 | |
| 436d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >4600 | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $4,999 | −$4,999 −100% | 11 |
| 436d | 0xa95bfdb | >4600 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,469 | +$541 +16% | 3 |
| 436d | TexMexTRex | >4600 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$1,134 +9.4% | 3 |
| 436d | >4600 | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,404 | −$1,404 −100% | 5 | |
| 436d | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,865 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 437d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,067 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 437d | ahmedxa | >4400 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | +$859 +54% | 4 |
| 437d | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,968 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 437d | icysfernando | >4400 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,394 | −$1,394 −100% | 4 |
| 437d | sergay | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,310 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 437d | lordedward | >4000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | −$142 −6.0% | — |
| 437d | Bitman0101 | >4400 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 3 |
| 438d | Chalasis | >4400 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,888 | −$1,888 −100% | 3 |
| 438d | lordedward | >4000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$325 +15% | 3 |
| 438d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >4000 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $7,599 | −$1,411 −19% | — |
| 439d | Chalasis | >3600 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,098 | −$55 −1.8% | — |
| 440d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >4000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $8,341 | +$1,708 +20% | 2 |
| 440d | 0xb68a…c568 | >4000 | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 3 |
| 441d | EthanX | >3800 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,551 | −$1,210 −27% | — |
| 441d | MagicalCompound | >3800 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,543 | −$1,207 −27% | — |
| 441d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >3800 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,416 | −$2,416 −100% | 6 |
| 442d | EthanX | >3800 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $6,246 | +$4,523 +72% | 3 |
| 442d | MagicalCompound | >3800 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$2,377 +76% | 3 |
| 442d | 0xb68a…c568 | >3600 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | −$1,083 −100% | 3 |
| 442d | Chalasis | >3600 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,215 | +$939 +42% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >4600 means the market gives it about 100%.