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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >4600 | 100% | +47 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4400 | 100% | +15 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4800 | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >4200 | 100% | +3 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >4000 | 100% | +1 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >3800 | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >3600 | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422d | 0xa95bfdb6 fills | >4600 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $20,068 | +$8,572 +43% | 4 |
| 422d | yyhaa221 | >4800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,290 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 422d | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 422d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >4600 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $7,881 | +$2,422 +31% | 4 |
| 422d | 0xb68a…c56818 fills | >4600 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $46,470 | −$46,470 −100% | 3 |
| 422d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >4600 | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $22,208 | +$22,208 +100% | — |
| 422d | comrade | >4600 | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,080 | −$1,330 −64% | — |
| 422d | printa | >4600 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | −$1,500 −43% | — |
| 422d | 0xa95bfdb4 fills | >4600 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $6,598 | −$6,598 −100% | 8 |
| 422d | printa3 fills | >4600 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $10,468 | +$2,577 +25% | 4 |
| 422d | kingofcoinflips7 fills | >4600 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $21,217 | −$21,217 −100% | 4 |
| 422d | kingofcoinflips13 fills | >4600 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $35,934 | +$19,706 +55% | 4 |
| 422d | printa2 fills | >4600 | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $4,235 | +$4,235 +100% | — |
| 422d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >4800 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,670 | +$198 +1.6% | 2 |
| 422d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,986 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 422d | traderdubz | >4600 | SellNo59¢ → 0¢ | $4,168 | +$4,168 +100% | — |
| 422d | traderdubz | >4600 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $4,545 | −$4,545 −100% | 4 |
| 423d | >4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 423d | ahmedxa | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,476 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 423d | vhanedelrosario | >3800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,187 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 423d | petya | >3600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,461 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 423d | 0xb68a…c5686 fills | >4400 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $13,328 | −$13,328 −100% | 9 |
| 423d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >4600 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $6,350 | +$8,650 +136% | 6 |
| 423d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | >4400 | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $7,707 | +$7,707 +100% | — |
| 424d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >4200 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $2,495 | −$2,495 −100% | 8 |
| 424d | printa | >4600 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $3,950 | −$3,950 −100% | 3 |
| 424d | 0xb68a…c568 | >4600 | SellYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$3,792 −376% | — |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb | >4800 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$2,160 +92% | 3 |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb | >4800 | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 4 |
| 425d | 0xb68a…c568 | >4200 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$30 +1.6% | 2 |
| 427d | >4400 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$600 +14% | 2 | |
| 427d | >4600 | BuyYes26¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$7,450 +292% | 7 | |
| 427d | 0xa95bfdb | >4400 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$2,700 +150% | 4 |
| 427d | >4200 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $6,785 | +$4,715 +69% | 3 | |
| 427d | Belivooor | >4200 | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,197 | −$1,197 −100% | 3 |
| 429d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | >4000 | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >4600 means the market gives it about 100%.