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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,600 | 0% | −3 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,500 | 0% | −29 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,400 | 100% | +7 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,700 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,300 | 100% | +1 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,800 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2,200 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,100 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 2,900 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1,900 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | Velova | 2,500 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$442 +28% | 2 |
| 45d | Memorable-Swanling | 2,500 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,023 | +$577 +29% | 4 |
| 45d | Velova | 2,600 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 2,500 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$920 +39% | 4 |
| 45d | AnonymousPerson | 2,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,251 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | PmDerek | 2,200 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,122 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | AnonymousPerson | 2,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | nearping | 2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d |  spica258 | 2,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,579 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | gobblewobble | 2,400 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$63 +4.3% | 2 |
| 45d | spica258 | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,687 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | H.xs | 2,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | Velova | 2,600 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
| 45d | jytdfhres | 2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,950 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 2,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 46d | gekko123456 | 2,400 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$25 +1.9% | 2 |
| 46d | IH2P | 2,600 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$78 +3.1% | 2 |
| 46d | rtuh56 | 2,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,094 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 47d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 2,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 47d |  coinman2 | 2,600 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,440 | +$549 +12% | 2 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 2,600 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,624 | +$141 +8.7% | 2 |
truthteller1,448 shares
something-know1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 2,600 means the market gives it about 0%.