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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,300-4,400 | 100% | +88 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <4,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,000-4,100 | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,100-4,200 | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,200-4,300 | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,400-4,500 | 0% | −30 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,500-4,600 | 0% | −33 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,600-4,700 | 0% | −18 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,700-4,800 | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,800-4,900 | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >4,900 | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379d | Chief-ConservationNew account | 4,300-4,400 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 379d |  noreasapa | 4,800-4,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | 518.btc | 4,200-4,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,544 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | dengshihan1748 | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 4,300-4,400 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$329 +18% | 3 |
| 379d | noreasapa | 4,500-4,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,355 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | Palatable-Hall | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 379d | get.btc | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,296 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 380d | goudisa | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 380d | lastcat | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 380d | 888.btc | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,277 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 380d | 528.btc | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,541 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 380d | gtet582 fills | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,228 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 380d | 99nine | 4,700-4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | easypredict2 fills | 4,300-4,400 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,334 | −$3,334 −100% | 8 |
| 380d | Chief-ConservationNew account | 4,300-4,400 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,598 | +$580 +22% | 5 |
| 380d | rwo | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,982 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | ghg22 | 4,700-4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,429 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | rwo | 4,700-4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 380d | rwo3 fills | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,331 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | rwo2 fills | 4,800-4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,330 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | hhh1aaa | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,456 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | hgf171 | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,511 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | nh52 | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,787 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d |  marsok | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | zhangmenghan1704 | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,498 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | SL3 | 4,600-4,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | OGwoke5 fills | <4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 380d | Jackie475 fills | <4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 380d | OGwoke16 fills | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,378 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | Jackie4717 fills | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,776 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | xiangxaoxuan | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,172 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 380d | easypredict | 4,300-4,400 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$1,685 +117% | 4 |
| 380d | easypredict | 4,500-4,600 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,135 | +$165 +5.3% | 2 |
| 380d | summer2024 | 4,100-4,200 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,105 | −$164 −5.3% | — |
| 380d | summer20245 fills | 4,100-4,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,788 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | 0xsweettea4 fills | 4,100-4,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,522 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | 0xsweettea12 fills | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,567 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | summer202412 fills | 4,000-4,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,567 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | 0xsweettea | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,381 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | summer2024 | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,381 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | jack19857 fills | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $249,511 | +$250 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | Crius62 fills | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $272,919 | +$273 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | easypredict2 fills | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $3,247 | +$3,059 +94% | 4 |
| 380d | imv | 4,400-4,500 | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,502 | +$1,502 +100% | — |
| 380d | Crius2 fills | <4,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,532 | −$39 −0.7% | — |
| 380d | Beulah | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | aadvark2 fills | 4,400-4,500 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$1,400 +54% | 4 |
| 380d | amused85 | 4,400-4,500 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,571 | −$1,571 −100% | 5 |
| 381d | ChainSwitch | >4,900 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,933 | −$167 −2.1% | — |
| 381d | ChainSwitch12 fills | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $97,103 | +$97 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | benolivia12 fills | >4,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $97,103 | +$97 +0.1% | 2 |
| 382d | crypt0alchemiss | <4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,487 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
gust9 sharesThis market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4,300-4,400 means the market gives it about 100%.