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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | Humble-Priest2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | SellUp33¢ → 100¢ | $3,451 | −$6,921 −201% | — |
| 190d | C03B | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,511 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 190d | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 190d | Humble-Priest2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp37¢ → 100¢ | $3,629 | +$6,243 +172% | 8 |
| 190d | gobblewobble2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$596 +23% | 4 |
| 190d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $6,038 | +$3,193 +53% | 5 |
| 190d | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $4,269 | +$638 +15% | 3 | |
| 190d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $4,579 | −$4,579 −100% | 5 |
| 190d | suntori | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | SellDown96¢ → 0¢ | $1,865 | +$1,865 +100% | — |
| 191d | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | −$1,353 −100% | 5 | |
| 191d | Ethereum Up or Down on April 16? | BuyUp74¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$410 +35% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.