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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | Fitting-Birdbath | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,162 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | URAL174 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $16,616 | +$945 +5.7% | 2 |
| 71d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04527 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $13,128 | +$6,240 +48% | 5 |
| 71d | 0x87b5…0fce2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 4 |
| 71d | 0x87b5…0fce | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | SellUp39¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$1,577 −153% | — |
| 71d | 0x87b5…0fce | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | BuyUp48¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,355 +108% | 5 |
| 71d | 0x87b5…0fce | Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? | SellDown52¢ → 0¢ | $2,751 | +$2,751 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.