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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | KOT-BR | Ethereum Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,508 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b045211 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $20,360 | +$10,042 +49% | 5 |
| 66d | strengthinnumbers | Ethereum Up or Down on August 18? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$731 +56% | 5 |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $12,702 | −$12,702 −100% | 5 |
| 66d | easyclap4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on August 18? | BuyDown90¢ → 0¢ | $14,644 | −$14,644 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.