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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 445d | deeeadf | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 445d | Thin-Print | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,575 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 445d | happy666 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 445d | cipherpilot | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,527 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 445d | Hashbrown | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,352 | +$70 +1.1% | 2 |
| 445d | Thin-Print | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $6,325 | +$264 +4.2% | 2 |
| 445d | affs20791 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 3 |
| 445d | 0xa95bfdb | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$543 +25% | 3 |
| 445d | printa | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,000 +25% | 3 |
| 446d | jhz1122 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $6,149 | +$3,311 +54% | 4 |
Martiini1,548 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 3 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 4 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 3 Aug '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 4 Aug '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.