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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc3421 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $33,835 | +$9,697 +29% | 3 |
| 307d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,291 | −$255 −11% | — |
| 307d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc344 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $4,955 | −$4,955 −100% | 7 |
| 307d |  coinman2 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | BuyDown21¢ → 0¢ | $1,263 | −$1,263 −100% | 5 |
| 307d | coinman2 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$695 +64% | 4 |
| 308d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 20? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$1,199 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 19 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 20 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.