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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306d | bndfgtrrtre | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 306d | apium87112 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $6,406 | +$116 +1.8% | 2 |
| 306d | maru-xan | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $3,930 | +$103 +2.6% | 2 |
| 306d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc3430 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyUp62¢ → 100¢ | $45,941 | +$28,081 +61% | 4 |
| 306d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc3431 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyDown69¢ → 0¢ | $44,960 | −$44,960 −100% | 4 |
| 306d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | SellUp58¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$1,260 −72% | — |
| 307d | GingerKing | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | SellDown76¢ → 0¢ | $1,521 | +$1,521 +100% | — |
| 308d | Stable-Armament | Ethereum Up or Down on December 21? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.