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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302d | alexjianwang | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,112 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 302d | spark-lily | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 302d | donttry2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,370 | +$42 +0.5% | 2 |
| 302d | 0x5c2e | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp100¢ | $1,048 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 302d | maru-xan | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$37 +1.2% | 2 |
| 302d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc347 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp67¢ → 100¢ | $12,168 | +$5,987 +49% | 4 |
| 302d | exceeding3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $5,020 | +$895 +18% | 3 |
| 302d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyDown77¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 4 |
| 302d | 0xe62d0223966f7cee8cc77065150a2db417bcc34 | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyDown64¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 4 |
| 303d | Ethereum Up or Down on December 25? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$817 +75% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 24 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Dec 25 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 24 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Dec 25 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.