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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,954 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 255d | deeeadf | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,484 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 255d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$64 −5.3% | — |
| 255d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$253 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 256d | Spanish-FratricideNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | SellDown66¢ → 100¢ | $4,379 | −$2,256 −52% | — |
| 256d | Spanish-FratricideNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BuyDown42¢ → 100¢ | $3,201 | +$4,368 +136% | 8 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 10 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.