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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251d |  niitoxyz | Ethereum Up or Down on February 15? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 251d | deeeadf2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 15? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 251d | 0x51729bF16 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 15? | BuyDown74¢ → 100¢ | $7,778 | +$2,695 +35% | 4 |
| 251d | Each-Naming | Ethereum Up or Down on February 15? | BuyDown44¢ → 100¢ | $5,720 | +$7,280 +127% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.