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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | 5f5a2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,521 | −$56 −2.2% | — |
| 249d | 5f5a | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | +$31 +2.0% | 2 |
| 249d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$36 +1.0% | 2 |
| 249d |  RobinMarketHood | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp30¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | +$1,310 +100% | — |
| 249d | shdbdbdb | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | SellUp59¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | +$1,568 +100% | — |
| 249d |  coinman22 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $7,676 | +$1,772 +23% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.