Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | deeeadf | Ethereum Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | +$118 +2.8% | 2 |
| 245d | IH2P | Ethereum Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$74 +6.4% | 3 |
| 245d | Zealous-Bachelor | Ethereum Up or Down on February 20? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | −$646 −29% | — |
| 245d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $5,575 | +$1,394 +25% | 4 |
| 245d | Zealous-Bachelor | Ethereum Up or Down on February 20? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $11,126 | +$2,707 +24% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.