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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d | deeeadf | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,832 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 240d | deeeadf3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,635 | +$57 +1.2% | 2 |
| 241d | easyclap | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$72 +5.3% | 2 |
| 241d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $2,337 | −$203 −8.7% | — |
| 241d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,575 | +$194 +7.5% | 2 |
| 241d | phoku2 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 25? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$1,152 +86% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.