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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | 0x15d4…d3062 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown78¢ → 100¢ | $5,188 | −$1,442 −28% | — |
| 260d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,775 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 260d | AZwater4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,756 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 260d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,723 | +$22 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 260d | fanbeixiazhu | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 260d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $3,738 | +$42 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 260d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$100 +9.9% | 3 |
| 260d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$307 +12% | 3 |
| 260d | xwind08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$79 +7.6% | 3 |
| 260d | xwind08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | SellUp8¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | +$1,036 +100% | — |
| 260d | xwind082 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp20¢ → 0¢ | $2,693 | −$2,693 −100% | 10 |
| 260d | kingofcoinflips | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$371 +12% | 3 |
| 260d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown87¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$329 +15% | 3 | |
| 260d | limit192 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp20¢ → 0¢ | $2,444 | −$2,444 −100% | 10 |
| 260d | 0x15d4…d3062 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown82¢ → 100¢ | $5,449 | +$1,181 +22% | 3 |
| 261d | Identical-Schooner | Ethereum Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,012 +101% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.