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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,684 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 259d | valartsoso | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,520 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 259d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,501 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 259d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 259d | 0x11981FC3 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp100¢ | $4,564 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 259d | Gamble8 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,429 | +$30 +0.5% | 2 |
| 259d | 0x11981FC3 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,523 | +$64 +1.4% | 2 |
| 259d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$26 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 259d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$180 +14% | 3 |
| 259d | valartsoso | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$203 +15% | 3 |
| 259d | 0x51729bF15 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $8,100 | −$8,100 −100% | 5 |
| 259d | valartsoso | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown30¢ → 0¢ | $1,061 | +$1,061 +100% | — |
| 259d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $4,233 | +$1,911 +45% | 5 | |
| 259d | valartsoso | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown57¢ → 0¢ | $1,770 | −$1,770 −100% | 5 |
| 259d | ohysyes | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,546 | +$1,546 +100% | — |
| 259d | xwind08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellUp42¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | −$2,559 −139% | — |
| 259d | exceeding5 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 6? | SellDown79¢ → 0¢ | $5,858 | +$5,858 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.