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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 258d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,142 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 258d | f93c | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $1,687 | −$63 −3.7% | — |
| 258d | 649d | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | −$88 −5.3% | — |
| 258d | 0x51729bF19 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $20,696 | +$4,085 +20% | 3 |
| 258d | 0x51729bF13 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown63¢ → 0¢ | $5,537 | −$5,537 −100% | 5 |
| 258d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown73¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | +$1,095 +100% | — |
| 258d | Bright-Caution | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$357 +19% | 3 |
| 258d | xwind082 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown56¢ → 0¢ | $4,767 | +$4,767 +100% | — |
| 258d | xwind082 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $3,107 | −$3,107 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | xwind08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellUp22¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | −$5,714 −356% | — |
| 259d | fatsloth | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | SellDown69¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | +$1,016 +100% | — |
| 259d | fatsloth | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown70¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | −$1,016 −100% | 4 |
| 259d | xwind082 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $3,324 | +$3,997 +120% | 5 |
| 259d | lgtnb34 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$812 +41% | 4 |
| 259d | kayui69 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 7? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.