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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | 0x51729bF14 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp70¢ → 100¢ | $6,061 | +$2,548 +42% | 4 |
| 257d | lin4533 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown26¢ → 0¢ | $1,370 | −$1,370 −100% | 5 |
| 258d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $1,066 | −$1,066 −100% | 4 |
| 258d | xwind08 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BuyDown31¢ → 0¢ | $1,577 | −$1,577 −100% | 6 |
| 258d | Aixcer | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,332 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 8 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.