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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d |  WolfiesATM | Ethereum Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 256d | 0x51729bF15 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $7,199 | +$2,114 +29% | 4 |
| 256d | hyperzhao | Ethereum Up or Down on February 9? | SellDown65¢ → 0¢ | $1,663 | +$1,663 +100% | — |
| 257d | 0x51729bF1 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 9? | BuyDown80¢ → 0¢ | $1,232 | −$1,232 −100% | 3 |
| 257d | Aixcer2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on February 9? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$2,887 +88% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Feb 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 9 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.