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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | ffva23 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 1? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,039 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | Foolhardy-Implement | Ethereum Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$82 +2.0% | 2 |
| 295d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7962 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $3,279 | +$1,051 +32% | 4 |
| 297d | asdc21c | Ethereum Up or Down on January 1? | BuyDown72¢ → 0¢ | $2,902 | −$2,902 −100% | 3 |
| 297d | ffva23 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 1? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$1,143 +39% | 3 |
50StackSteve460 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 31 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Dec 31 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.