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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | lunlimk | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  noreasapa2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $7,663 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 285d |  kboss | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$54 +0.9% | 2 |
| 285d | RPY05 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$48 +2.8% | 2 |
| 285d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD79613 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $28,126 | +$11,345 +40% | 4 |
| 285d | Cultivated-AbbreviationNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$785 +52% | 7 |
| 285d | lgtnb11 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$1,470 −96% | — |
| 286d | kederrac3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp43¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$6,589 +132% | 6 |
| 286d |  lookmee | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$1,204 −100% | — |
| 286d |  zaixia | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | — |
| 286d |  typeb | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,535 | −$1,535 −100% | — |
| 286d |  bimawena | Ethereum Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$1,555 −100% | — |
bimawena3,110 sharestypeb3,070 shareszaixia2,506 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.