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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 284d | sslz | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,087 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | Foolhardy-Implement | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,924 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 284d | lastchancetosurvive | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,522 | −$36 −1.0% | — |
| 284d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7964 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | +$3,473 +71% | 5 |
| 284d | Sharky6999 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$606 +54% | 2 |
| 284d | exceeding2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | SellDown51¢ → 0¢ | $2,331 | +$2,331 +100% | — |
| 284d | apium8711 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp61¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$2,375 +64% | 2 |
| 284d |  ProudIsraeli | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp91¢ → 100¢ | $18,129 | +$1,871 +10% | 2 |
| 284d | lastchancetosurvive | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | +$1,438 +69% | 2 |
| 284d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7962 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown60¢ → 0¢ | $2,714 | −$2,714 −100% | 5 |
| 284d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 5 |
| 284d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $5,238 | −$5,238 −100% | 4 |
| 284d | kederrac3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp34¢ → 100¢ | $5,666 | +$10,840 +191% | 9 |
| 284d | yjyfdf | Ethereum Up or Down on January 12? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | +$855 +39% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
