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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp>99¢ | $7,059 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 278d | 1337zzz13372 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $5,045 | −$1,460 −29% | — |
| 278d | AZwater | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$180 +12% | 3 | |
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $6,584 | +$483 +7.3% | 3 | |
| 278d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7967 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $13,164 | +$5,128 +39% | 4 |
| 278d | Unconscious-RoosterNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp83¢ → 100¢ | $9,873 | −$2,024 −21% | — |
| 278d | 1337zzz1337 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $3,049 | +$587 +19% | 3 |
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp62¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$1,189 −61% | — | |
| 278d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp66¢ → 100¢ | $2,061 | +$1,068 +52% | 5 | |
| 278d | Unconscious-RoosterNew account | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $6,150 | +$5,748 +93% | 7 |
| 278d | turtletrader92 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | SellUp45¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | −$5,305 −124% | — |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $4,441 | −$4,441 −100% | 4 | |
| 279d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7962 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $2,880 | −$2,880 −100% | 4 |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$1,676 +100% | 3 | |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$1,598 +100% | 3 | |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$1,248 +100% | 3 | |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$1,049 +100% | 3 | |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$1,119 +100% | 3 | |
| 279d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 18? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$1,021 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.