Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD796 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | BuyUp46¢ → 0¢ | $1,616 | −$1,616 −100% | 5 |
| 275d | Identical-Schooner | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown73¢ → 100¢ | $5,483 | −$2,025 −37% | — |
| 275d | Identical-Schooner | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $6,051 | +$1,457 +24% | 4 |
| 275d |  coinman22 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $7,703 | +$534 +6.9% | 3 |
| 275d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | SellDown81¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | −$314 −23% | — |
| 275d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD796 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown75¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$455 +33% | 4 |
| 276d | exceeding | Ethereum Up or Down on January 21? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +21% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
