Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | Thin-Print2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $8,544 | +$99 +1.2% | 2 |
| 291d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD7965 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $6,863 | +$1,996 +29% | 4 |
| 291d | greatanon | Ethereum Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,815 | +$671 +24% | 4 |
| 291d | Cooker | Ethereum Up or Down on January 5? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $11,480 | +$2,557 +22% | 3 |
| 291d | kingofcoinflips | Ethereum Up or Down on January 5? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 6 |
Fartard2,565 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.